The Vault · 2026-03-31 17:57:24 · Seeking Alpha
A significant shift in global capital flows is underway, with foreign central banks sharply reducing their exposure to U.S. government debt. Holdings of U.S. Treasuries held in custody at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York have plummeted to their lowest level since 2012, signaling a sustained and notable retreat by o...
The Network · 2026-03-31 21:26:48 · Bloomberg Markets
The escalating threat of war with Iran is directly threatening a core pillar of Donald Trump's economic agenda: lower interest rates. The financial shockwave is already hitting the bedrock of US markets, with 10-year Treasury yields poised for their steepest monthly surge since Trump's return to the White House. This i...
The Vault · 2026-04-07 20:57:05 · Bloomberg Markets
The clock is ticking on President Trump's Iran deadline, and US Treasury markets are bracing for a fresh wave of volatility. Investors, already nursing losses from the Middle East conflict, are positioning for a potential escalation that could trigger another sharp selloff in government bonds. The direct link between g...
The Vault · 2026-04-10 18:52:43 · Bloomberg Markets
US Treasury yields surged as inflation data, now reflecting the economic shockwaves from the US war on Iran, dismantled market expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. The selloff accelerated after President Donald Trump threatened to escalate the conflict, directly linking geopolitical risk to do...
The Network · 2026-04-13 08:52:53 · Japan Times
The foundational financial-security bargain underpinning the Middle East for decades has ruptured. The escalating conflict between Iran and Israel has shattered the 'virtuous loop' where American military power guaranteed regional stability in exchange for Gulf petrostates recycling their dollar-denominated oil revenue...
The Vault · 2026-04-17 17:52:52 · Bloomberg Markets
A dangerous concentration of leveraged hedge fund positions in U.S. Treasuries has created a critical vulnerability, raising the specter of a sudden, disorderly unwind that could send shockwaves through global bond markets. Apollo Global Management's Chief Economist Torsten Slok issued the stark warning, highlighting h...
The Vault · 2026-04-20 18:52:35 · Bloomberg Markets
A significant pricing disconnect has emerged in global markets, with US Treasuries failing to reflect the same geopolitical calm priced into other major asset classes. According to Bank of America strategists, Treasury yields remain elevated, still pricing in a risk premium for a potential Middle East war that equities...
The Network · 2026-05-08 14:54:56 · Bloomberg Markets
A sharp drop in the Federal Reserve's custody holdings of US Treasuries has ignited speculation that Japan may have offloaded American debt to finance currency intervention, marking the first decline in a month and coinciding with suspected yen-support operations. The timing has drawn intense market attention, as trade...