1. Prediction Markets Kalshi & Polymarket Profit from Geopolitical Tragedy, Betting on Iran War & Leadership Deaths
The front page of prediction market Polymarket currently features a prominent bet: "Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?" As of this writing, the market assigns a 41% chance to this outcome, with over $5 million wagered on the question. On competitor Kalshi, a staggering $54 million was spent on a market titled "Al...